Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.006896 0.007710 0.008598 0.009642 0.010838 0.012170 0.013770
2025-04-13 0.005447 0.006516 0.007780 0.009395 0.011419 0.013893 0.017178
2025-04-20 0.004721 0.005903 0.007375 0.009366 0.012020 0.015483 0.020424
2025-04-27 0.004335 0.005621 0.007295 0.009668 0.013002 0.017610 0.024617
2025-05-04 0.003929 0.005247 0.007025 0.009646 0.013498 0.019086 0.028069
2025-05-11 0.003629 0.004974 0.006848 0.009711 0.014090 0.020736 0.031993
2025-05-18 0.003331 0.004670 0.006586 0.009606 0.014393 0.021958 0.035388
2025-05-25 0.003134 0.004489 0.006481 0.009714 0.015022 0.023748 0.039993
2025-06-01 0.002919 0.004260 0.006277 0.009639 0.015333 0.025036 0.043898
2025-06-08 0.002671 0.003960 0.005935 0.009304 0.015163 0.025458 0.046241
2025-06-15 0.002528 0.003811 0.005818 0.009324 0.015597 0.026997 0.050982
2025-06-22 0.002468 0.003787 0.005896 0.009678 0.016659 0.029824 0.058833
2025-06-29 0.002275 0.003540 0.005600 0.009369 0.016504 0.030369 0.062109
2025-07-06 0.002109 0.003326 0.005344 0.009113 0.016429 0.031082 0.065953
2025-07-13 0.001998 0.003197 0.005222 0.009086 0.016789 0.032730 0.072296
2025-07-20 0.001948 0.003168 0.005268 0.009377 0.017818 0.035947 0.083190
2025-07-27 0.001855 0.003056 0.005159 0.009356 0.018199 0.037791 0.091008
2025-08-03 0.001781 0.002973 0.005096 0.009418 0.018761 0.040129 0.100726
2025-08-10 0.001692 0.002856 0.004958 0.009317 0.018950 0.041611 0.108389
2025-08-17 0.001635 0.002795 0.004923 0.009421 0.019612 0.044353 0.120502
2025-08-24 0.001562 0.002697 0.004809 0.009349 0.019857 0.046080 0.129953
2025-08-31 0.001464 0.002549 0.004587 0.009026 0.019471 0.046103 0.133893
2025-09-07 0.001411 0.002483 0.004525 0.009045 0.019915 0.048424 0.146259